An Earth-System Prediction Initiative for the Twenty-First Century

Shapiro, M.; Shukla, J.; Brunet, G.; Nobre, C.; Beland, M.; Dole, R.; Trenberth, K.; Anthes, R.; Asrar, G.; Barrie, L.; Bougeault, P.; Brasseur, G.P.; Burridge, D.; Busalacchi, A.; Caughey, J.; Chen, D.; Church, J.; Enomoto, T.; Hoskins, B.; Hov, O.; Laing, A.; Le Treut, H.; Marotzke, J.; McBean, G.; Meehl, G.; Miller, M.; Mills, B.; Mitchell, J.; Moncrieff, M.; Nakazawa, T.; Olafsson, H.; Palmer, T.; Persons, D.; Rogers, D.; Simmons, A.; Troccoli, A.; Toth, Z.; Uccellini, L.; Velden, C.; Wallace, J.M.

Journalpaper

An Earth-System Prediction Initiative for the Twenty-First Century

Abstract

The necessity and benefits for establishing the international Earth-system Prediction Initiative (EPI) are discussed by scientists associated with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) World Weather Research Programme (WWRP), World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), International Geosphere–Biosphere Programme (IGBP), Global Climate Observing System (GCOS), and natural-hazards and socioeconomic communities. The proposed initiative will provide research and services to accelerate advances in weather, climate, and Earth system prediction and the use of this information by global societies. It will build upon the WMO, the Group on Earth Observations (GEO), the Global Earth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS) and the International Council for Science (ICSU) to coordinate the effort across the weather, climate, Earth system, natural-hazards, and socioeconomic disciplines. It will require (i) advanced high-performance computing facilities, supporting a worldwide network of research and operational modeling centers, and early warning systems; (ii) science, technology, and education projects to enhance knowledge, awareness, and utilization of weather, climate, environmental, and socioeconomic information; (iii) investments in maintaining existing and developing new observational capabilities; and (iv) infrastructure to transition achievements into operational products and services.

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URL: https://publications.hereon.de/id/31725/
Authors:Shapiro, M., Shukla, J., Brunet, G., Nobre, C., Beland, M., Dole, R., Trenberth, K., Anthes, R., Asrar, G., Barrie, L., Bougeault, P., Brasseur, G.P., Burridge, D., Busalacchi, A., Caughey, J., Chen, D., Church, J., Enomoto, T., Hoskins, B., Hov, O., Laing, A., Le Treut, H., Marotzke, J., McBean, G., Meehl, G., Miller, M., Mills, B., Mitchell, J., Moncrieff, M., Nakazawa, T., Olafsson, H., Palmer, T., Persons, D., Rogers, D., Simmons, A., Troccoli, A., Toth, Z., Uccellini, L., Velden, C., Wallace, J.M.
Year:2010
In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume:91
Issue:10
Pages:1377 - 1388
Publisher:AMS, Boston, MA
Type:Journalpaper
ISSN: 0003-0007
Cite as: Shapiro, M.; Shukla, J.; Brunet, G.; Nobre, C.; Beland, M.; Dole, R.; Trenberth, K.; Anthes, R.; Asrar, G.; Barrie, L.; Bougeault, P.; Brasseur, G.P.; Burridge, D.; Busalacchi, A.; Caughey, J.; Chen, D.; Church, J.; Enomoto, T.; Hoskins, B.; Hov, O.; Laing, A.; Le Treut, H.; Marotzke, J.; McBean, G.; Meehl, G.; Miller, M.; Mills, B.; Mitchell, J.; Moncrieff, M.; Nakazawa, T.; Olafsson, H.; Palmer, T.; Persons, D.; Rogers, D.; Simmons, A.; Troccoli, A.; Toth, Z.; Uccellini, L.; Velden, C.; Wallace, J.M.: An Earth-System Prediction Initiative for the Twenty-First Century. In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. Vol. 91 (2010) 10, 1377 - 1388. (DOI: 10.1175/2010BAMS2944.1)