@misc{heath_ecosystem_approach_2022, author={Heath, M., Benkort, D., Brierley, A., Daewel, U., Laverick, J., Proud, R., Speirs, D.}, title={Ecosystem approach to harvesting in the Arctic: Walking the tightrope between exploitation and conservation in the Barents Sea}, year={2022}, howpublished = {journal article}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-021-01616-9}, abstract = {Projecting the consequences of warming and sea-ice loss for Arctic marine food web and fisheries is challenging due to the intricate relationships between biology and ice. We used StrathE2EPolar, an end-to-end (microbes-to-megafauna) food web model incorporating ice-dependencies to simulate climate-fisheries interactions in the Barents Sea. The model was driven by output from the NEMO-MEDUSA earth system model, assuming RCP 8.5 atmospheric forcing. The Barents Sea was projected to be > 95% ice-free all year-round by the 2040s compared to > 50% in the 2010s, and approximately 2 °C warmer. Fisheries management reference points (FMSY and BMSY) for demersal fish (cod, haddock) were projected to increase by around 6%, indicating higher productivity. However, planktivorous fish (capelin, herring) reference points were projected to decrease by 15%, and upper trophic levels (birds, mammals) were strongly sensitive to planktivorous fish harvesting. The results indicate difficult trade-offs ahead, between harvesting and conservation of ecosystem structure and function.}, note = {Online available at: \url{https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-021-01616-9} (DOI). Heath, M.; Benkort, D.; Brierley, A.; Daewel, U.; Laverick, J.; Proud, R.; Speirs, D.: Ecosystem approach to harvesting in the Arctic: Walking the tightrope between exploitation and conservation in the Barents Sea. Ambio. 2022. vol. 51, no. 2, 456-470. DOI: 10.1007/s13280-021-01616-9}}