%0 conference lecture
%@ 
%A Pyrina, M., Wagner, S., Zorita, E.

%D 2020
%J EGU General Assembly 2020

 
%R doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-4571
%T Statistical prediction of 20th century European summer temperatures based on ERA20c reanalysis data
%U https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-4571
 
%X The ERA20c data show that the SM predictor field can be used for the T2m prediction over most of our study region west of 15° E and that the ENA SSTs can be used for the prediction over Europe east of 15° E. The resulting gridded correlation coefficients vary between 0.3 and 0.5. These results are not sensitive to the prediction period and to the number of Canonical Coefficients used in the regression model. Our approach complements existing numerical seasonal forecast frameworks and can be implemented for ensemble prediction studies.