%0 journal article
%@ 1616-7341
%A Albrecht, F., Weisse, R.

%D 2014
%J Ocean Dynamics
%N 5
%P 633-642 
%R doi:10.1007/s10236-014-0708-7
%T Pressure effects on regional mean sea level trends in the German Bight in the twenty-first century
%U https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-014-0708-7
5 
%X The effect of large-scale atmospheric pressure changes on regional mean sea level projections in the German Bight in the twenty-first century are considered. A developed statistical model is applied to climate model data of sea level pressure for the twenty-first century to assess the potential contribution of large-scale atmospheric changes to future sea level changes in the German Bight. Using 78 experiments, an ensemble mean of 1.4-cm rise in regional mean sea level is estimated until the end of the twenty-first century. Changes are somewhat higher for realisations of the special report on emission scenarios (SRES) A1B and A2, but generally do not exceed a few centimeters. This is considerably smaller than the changes expected from steric and self-gravitational effects. Large-scale changes in sea level pressure are thus not expected to provide a substantial contribution to twenty-first century sea level changes in the German Bight.