%0 journal article
%@ 0003-0007
%A Gualdi, S., Somot, S., Li, L., Artale, V., Adani, M., Bellucci, A., Braun, A., Calmanti, S., Carillo, A., Dell'Aquila, A., Deque, M., Dubois, C., Elizalde, A., Harzallah, A., Jacob, D., L'Heveder, B., May, W., Oddo, P., Ruti, P., Sanna, A., Sannino, G., Scoccimarro, E., Sevault, F., Navarra, A.

%D 2013
%J Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
%N 1
%P 65-81 
%R doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00136.1
%T The CIRCE Simulations: Regional Climate Change Projections with Realistic Representation of the Mediterranean Sea
%U https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00136.1
1 
%X The projections show a substantial warming (about 1.5°–2°C) and a significant decrease of precipitation (about 5%) in the region for the scenario period. However, locally the changes might be even larger. In the same period, the projected surface net heat loss decreases, leading to a weaker cooling of the Mediterranean Sea by the atmosphere, whereas the water budget appears to increase, leading the basin to lose more water through its surface than in the past. Overall, these results are consistent with the findings of previous scenario simulations, such as the Prediction of Regional Scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining European Climate Change Risks and Effects (PRUDENCE), Ensemble-Based Predictions of Climate Changes and Their Impacts (ENSEMBLES), and phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3). The agreement suggests that these findings are robust to substantial changes in the configuration of the models used to make the simulations.